{"id":223330,"date":"2022-03-01T11:25:46","date_gmt":"2022-03-01T16:25:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/?p=223330"},"modified":"2022-03-01T13:23:10","modified_gmt":"2022-03-01T18:23:10","slug":"canadian-affordability-worsened-26-years","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/news\/canadian-affordability-worsened-26-years","title":{"rendered":"It now takes 28 years to save for a Toronto down payment"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4 id='pressboard-ad-sponsorship-tag' style='margin-bottom: 35px;'><\/h4><p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/housing-nbc.jpg\" rel=\"lightbox[223330]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-223333\" src=\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/housing-nbc.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" \/><\/a><em>Photo:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/stock.adobe.com\/ca\/contributor\/203397414\/luisa10?load_type=author&amp;prev_url=detail\" class=\"external\" target=\"_blank\">luisa10<\/a> \/ Adobe Stock<\/em><\/p>\n<p>In Canada\u2019s heated housing market where have prices continued to soar, affordability dropped at the quickest rate in well over two decades during 2021.<\/p>\n<p>This week, the National Bank of Canada (NBC) published its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbc.ca\/content\/dam\/bnc\/en\/rates-and-analysis\/economic-analysis\/housing-affordability.pdf\" class=\"external\" target=\"_blank\">Housing Affordability Monitor<\/a>, which shows that housing affordability worsened at the fastest pace in more than 26 years over the past year. In Q4-2021, affordability weakened as the mortgage payment on a representative home as a percentage of income (MPPI) rose 2.1 points, up from Q3-2021\u2019s increase of 1.7 points. This marks a fourth consecutive quarter of deterioration.<\/p>\n\n<p>It would now take 48.6 per cent of the income from a representative household to service the mortgage on a representative home in Canada. This is elevated compared to the last cyclical high reported in Q4-2018, and the worst affordability since the mid-1990s, according to NBC. Toronto, Hamilton, Ottawa and Halifax have been \u201cshowing levels not seen since the start of this century.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Between the ten Canadian markets the bank analyzed in Q4-2021, affordability declined in all of them, the worst three cities being Victoria, Toronto and Hamilton. By property type, deterioration was worse for non-condo homes nationwide, which worsened by 2.7 points versus 1.1 points for condos.<\/p>\n<h3>Mortgage payments eating up more household income<\/h3>\n<p>In Canada\u2019s major cities, mortgage payments continued to account for a larger percentage of a household\u2019s income.<\/p>\n<p>In Toronto, the overall MPPI increased 3.6pp in Q4-2021 to 67.3 per cent, its highest level since 1990. By property type, the MPPI for a non-condo home increased four per cent quarterly to 72.4 per cent, and rose 1.7 per cent over the same period to 40 per cent for condos.<\/p>\n<p>To buy a non-condo home in Toronto, it would now take 340 months (28 years) to save for a down payment at a savings rate of 10 per cent. An annual household income of $212,013 is needed to afford the representative non-condo home, which is worth $1,234,597. Toronto condos took significantly less time and savings to afford, requiring 59 months of saving (almost five years) and a yearly household income of $137,145 to purchase the representative condo price of $682,111.<\/p>\n<div class=\"see-more-link\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"See Also\" src=\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-content\/themes\/livabl\/images\/see-also-cta-icon.svg\"\/>\r\n          <strong><span>SEE ALSO:<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/2022\/02\/low-market-supply-prices-new-homes-january.html\"  area-label=\"Low supply helps push up Canada\u2019s new home prices in January\">Low supply helps push up Canada\u2019s new home prices in January<\/a><\/strong>\r\n        <\/div>\n<p>In Vancouver, the length of time needed to save for a home was even longer compared to Toronto. If you\u2019re looking to buy a non-condo home, you\u2019d need to save for 431 months (almost 36 years) for a downpayment and have an annual income of $269,994 to afford the representative price of $1,572,237. This is the highest number of months needed for saving a downpayment compared to the other nine cities NBC analyzed.<\/p>\n<p>Vancouver condos require 59 months of saving (4.9 years) and $137,442 of annual income to afford the representative condo price, worth $683,650. The MPPI of a non-condo Vancouver home is now 91.9 per cent, up 2.8 per cent quarterly. The MPPI for condos rose 1.2 per cent quarter-to-quarter to 39.9 per cent.<\/p>\n<p>Victoria reported the highest increases to its MPPI for condo and non-condo homes last quarter, which rose 2.5 per cent and four per cent quarterly to 40 per cent and 76.2 per cent.<\/p>\n<p>If you were to purchase a non-condo home in Victoria, you\u2019d need an annual take home of $189,846 and to save 358 months (29.8 years) for a down payment to afford the representative home of $1,105,517. By saving for 53 months (4.4 years) with an annual income of $117,551, you could afford a Victoria condo, worth $580,689.<\/p>\n<h3>Rising mortgage rates contribute to declining affordability in Q4-2021<\/h3>\n<p>NBC noted in its report that increasing mortgage interest rates were the larger driving force behind declining affordability last quarter in addition to home price growth.<\/p>\n<p>The bank\u2019s five-year benchmark mortgage rate, which is used for its affordability metrics, increased 28 basis points (bps) in Q4-2021, the largest quarterly change since Q3-2017, when the Bank of Canada upped the overnight rate two times during the same quarter.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWith investors now anticipating a more rapid increase in policy rates, our benchmark rate has increased by another 30bps in the current quarter for a cumulative 100bps since the 2020Q4 rate trough,\u201d explained the report. \u201cAll else being equal, such an increase would have translated into a 10.7 per cent decline in purchasing power.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>In the second half of 2021, a record-high portion (53 per cent) of homebuyers opted for variable rate mortgages instead of the standard five-year fixed mortgage. In doing so, NBC said that mortgage holders boosted their purchasing power by 10 per cent in Q4-2021, but this \u201cescape route,\u201d is expected to close as the BoC starts to up its policy rate.<\/p>\n<div id='pressboard-ad-sponsorship-msg'><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In Canada\u2019s heated housing market where have prices continued to soar, affordability dropped at the quickest rate in well over two decades during 2021.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":223333,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","apple_news_api_created_at":"","apple_news_api_id":"","apple_news_api_modified_at":"","apple_news_api_revision":"","apple_news_api_share_url":"","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_is_hidden":false,"apple_news_is_paid":false,"apple_news_is_preview":false,"apple_news_is_sponsored":false,"apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"middle","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_sections":["https:\/\/u48r14.digitalhub.com\/sections\/09b86915-7d2b-3acd-915b-b215002d01b7"],"apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11108],"tags":[11236,11163,3595],"coauthors":[10332],"apple_news_notices":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with 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