{"id":221170,"date":"2021-11-18T09:30:06","date_gmt":"2021-11-18T14:30:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/?p=221170"},"modified":"2021-11-17T16:54:23","modified_gmt":"2021-11-17T21:54:23","slug":"supply-rental-905-1000-square-foot-zonda-urban","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/news\/supply-rental-905-1000-square-foot-zonda-urban","title":{"rendered":"Supply chain, rental market drives 905 above $1,000 per square foot: Zonda Urban"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4 id='pressboard-ad-sponsorship-tag' style='margin-bottom: 35px;'><\/h4><p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/905-condo.jpg\" rel=\"lightbox[221170]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-221174\" src=\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/905-condo.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1334\" \/><\/a><em>Photo:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/stock.adobe.com\/ca\/contributor\/200381711\/chiyacat?load_type=author&amp;prev_url=detail\" class=\"external\" target=\"_blank\">chiyacat<\/a> \/ Adobe Stock<\/em><\/p>\n<p>You might associate rising condo prices with downtown Toronto\u2019s high-rise neighbourhoods, but new insights from <a href=\"https:\/\/zondaurban.com\/\" class=\"external\" target=\"_blank\">Zonda Urban<\/a> (formerly Urban Analytics) tell another story.<\/p>\n<p>The Greater Toronto Area\u2019s 905 region \u2014 an area that is characterized by the municipalities surrounding the City of Toronto \u2014 have seen newly launched condo prices grow to $1,000 per square foot. This is thanks to climbing construction prices caused by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/2021\/10\/labour-inflation-supply-headaches-builders-buyers.html\">supply chain challenges<\/a> and a strong rental market, among other contributing factors.<\/p>\n\n<p>Pauline Lierman, Zonda Urban\u2019s vice-president of market research for Ontario and Quebec, gave<em> Livabl<\/em> the 411 on new condo price trends in the 905 region.<\/p>\n<p><strong>You mentioned to <em>Livabl<\/em> that new construction condominiums in Greater Toronto\u2019s 905 region have reached over $1,000 per square foot (PSF). Which areas and communities are seeing the highest levels of price growth?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The GTA has formed a comfortable new geographic ring where newly launched projects will exceed $1,000 PSF. These are mostly comprised of the largest 905 municipalities.<\/p>\n<p>For example, new launch prices have reached $1,150 PSF in the Vaughan Metropolitan Centre area and nearly $1,250 PSF within the Mississauga City Centre. New projects in Erin Mills in Mississauga and along the Trafalgar Road corridor in the Uptown area in north Oakville have reached $1,000 PSF. We have even had new openings in Milton \u2014 typically a more \u201caffordable\u201d pocket for condominium apartment development \u2014 at $1,000 PSF.<\/p>\n<p><strong>When looking at the data, how quickly have new condominium prices accelerated to over $1,000 PSF over the last year or so? Was this increase occurring gradually or did it evolve suddenly?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Price acceleration in the 905 markets has not been a sudden evolution. Although, the pace of growth has ramped up since mid-2020. For example, we saw new launches of similar building typologies in Oakville jump $120 PSF between mid-2019 from the low $700 PSFs and mid-2020 to mid-$800s PSF, and now we are in the $1,000 range. Larger gains, but not a new trend since 2020. It\u2019s strengthened in the two-year interim.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/905-price.jpg\" rel=\"lightbox[221170]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-221176\" src=\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/905-price.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" \/><\/a><em>Photo: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jamesbombales.com\/\" class=\"external\" target=\"_blank\">James Bombales<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>What would you attribute as the main driving factors that have pushed condo prices over $1,000 PSF? Is this related to rising construction prices, low supply or surging buyer demand?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>All of the above. Supply has not really bounced back to the 15,000 levels seen pre-2017. A strong rental market (outside of the COVID-19 impact which the market is rapidly recovering from), and rapidly rising construction costs compounded by the supply chain issues are all having an impact.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Where are prices projected to go from here? Do you imagine a scenario where they will come down, or is $1,000 PSF the new norm?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Unless the pressure on pricing due to the low supply scenario improves, I would expect that pricing will continue to escalate. I would caution, however, that the market has seen sharp rises then periods of flatter growth (for example, 2004 to 2006 and 2013 to 2015).<\/p>\n<p>The market in downtown Toronto for a typical project has been hovering around $1,400 PSF for the past 18 months, yet new launches in the Bloor-Yorkville neighbourhood around $2,000 PSF may allow some room for downtown values to rise. I am watching the 905 markets in particular to see where price resistance could finally set in. Several of these have seen gains upwards of $150 PSF since early 2020.<\/p>\n<div id='pressboard-ad-sponsorship-msg'><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pauline Lierman, Zonda Urban\u2019s vice-president of market research for Ontario and Quebec, gave Livabl the 411 on new condo price trends in the 905 region.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":221174,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","apple_news_api_created_at":"2021-11-18T14:30:20Z","apple_news_api_id":"f9b02705-9992-453a-b95b-e42aaf407782","apple_news_api_modified_at":"2021-11-18T14:30:21Z","apple_news_api_revision":"AAAAAAAAAAD\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/w==","apple_news_api_share_url":"https:\/\/apple.news\/A-bAnBZmSRTq5W-Qqr0B3gg","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_is_hidden":false,"apple_news_is_paid":false,"apple_news_is_preview":false,"apple_news_is_sponsored":false,"apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"middle","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_sections":["https:\/\/u48r14.digitalhub.com\/sections\/09b86915-7d2b-3acd-915b-b215002d01b7"],"apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11108],"tags":[11163,11198,3595],"coauthors":[10332],"apple_news_notices":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- 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