{"id":205795,"date":"2020-07-20T14:57:24","date_gmt":"2020-07-20T18:57:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/?p=205795"},"modified":"2020-07-20T14:57:24","modified_gmt":"2020-07-20T18:57:24","slug":"home-prices-forecast-rise-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/archives\/home-prices-forecast-rise-2022","title":{"rendered":"Home prices forecast to rise 8% by 2022: Capital Economics"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4 id='pressboard-ad-sponsorship-tag' style='margin-bottom: 35px;'><\/h4><p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/canadian-housing-market.jpg\" rel=\"lightbox[205795]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/canadian-housing-market.jpg\" alt=\"canadian-housing-market\" width=\"1024\" height=\"769\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-205799\" \/><\/a><em>Photo:\u00a0<a class=\"external\" href=\"https:\/\/unsplash.com\/@tierramallorca?utm_source=unsplash&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_content=creditCopyText\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tierra Mallorca<\/a>\/<a class=\"external\" href=\"https:\/\/unsplash.com\/search\/photos\/mortgage?utm_source=unsplash&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_content=creditCopyText\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Unsplash<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p>A surprisingly strong showing from the Canadian housing market in June is leading economists to swiftly revise their forecasts as homebuyers returned to the market in larger than anticipated numbers.<\/p>\n<p>June market data <a href=\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/2020\/07\/home-price-gains-june-erase-pandemic-losses.html\">published last week<\/a> by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) showed country-wide home sales up 63 percent over May and more than 15 percent compared to the same period last year. Home price growth also came roaring back, almost completely erasing the losses suffered through the worst months of the COVID-19 pandemic.<\/p>\n\n<p>The performance was so strong it led Capital Economics\u2019 Stephen Brown to revise his home price forecast upward to 3 percent in 2021 and 5 percent in 2022. By the end of 2022, he now predicts that prices will have risen by 8 percent from their current levels.<\/p>\n<p>In a research brief published late last week, Brown wrote that the June figures had \u201cmade a mockery of the near-unanimous view among economists that [Canadian] house prices would fall this year.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Indeed, economists projecting varying degrees of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/2020\/06\/canadian-home-prices-fall-early-2021.html\">home price declines<\/a> were a staple of media reporting on the pandemic\u2019s housing market impacts since the crisis began. Oxford Economics predicted a nine percent fall by early 2021 just a month ago. Earlier on, RBC forecast a seven percent decline by mid-2021, while National Bank of Canada pegged the drop to be close to 10 percent.<\/p>\n<p>Even Capital Economics itself had, less than two months ago, predicted that average Canadian home prices would <a href=\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/2020\/06\/canadian-home-prices-forecast-drop-pandemic-fallout.html\">bottom out at 10 percent<\/a> below their pre-pandemic levels while the less volatile Teranet Home Price Index would see a 5 percent drop.<\/p>\n<p>After the CREA June data was released, Brown didn\u2019t mince words when it came to the accuracy of those forecasts.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cEither way, nearly everyone was wrong, as prices have moved in the opposite direction,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>Brown pointed to both substantial rises in average selling prices and a 0.5 percent increase in the MLS Home Price Index, which is a more reliable measure of home price movement over time.<\/p>\n<p>Considering the unanticipated strength of the market so soon after it suffered some of the worst drops in sales activity ever recorded, Capital Economics revised its outlook for Canadian home prices in the coming years.<\/p>\n<p>Brown wrote that the firm now believes prices will be more or less unchanged through the remainder of the year and begin trending upward by 2021, propelled by a recovering economy and low interest rates.<\/p>\n<p>Despite this clear, rapid improvement in the market\u2019s fortunes, the economist still included a measure of caution in the new forecast. There are still a considerable number of Canadians currently deferring their mortgage payments who may be forced to sell their homes when the deferral programs wind down in September.<\/p>\n<p>He also flagged the precipitous pandemic-induced decline in immigration \u2014 the fundamental driver of population growth \u2014 as a key challenge on the horizon for the market.<\/p>\n<div id='pressboard-ad-sponsorship-msg'><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A surprisingly strong showing from the Canadian housing market in June is leading economists to swiftly revise their forecasts as homebuyers returned to the market in larger than anticipated numbers.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":205799,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","apple_news_api_created_at":"2020-07-20T18:57:32Z","apple_news_api_id":"929cb15d-2723-48f7-947e-26ad20f83dcb","apple_news_api_modified_at":"2020-07-20T18:57:32Z","apple_news_api_revision":"AAAAAAAAAAD\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/w==","apple_news_api_share_url":"https:\/\/apple.news\/AkpyxXScjSPeUfiatIPg9yw","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_is_hidden":false,"apple_news_is_paid":false,"apple_news_is_preview":false,"apple_news_is_sponsored":false,"apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"middle","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_sections":["https:\/\/u48r14.digitalhub.com\/sections\/09b86915-7d2b-3acd-915b-b215002d01b7"],"apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11269],"tags":[],"coauthors":[8652],"apple_news_notices":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Home prices forecast to rise 8% by 2022: Capital Economics | Livabl<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/archives\/home-prices-forecast-rise-2022\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Home prices forecast to rise 8% by 2022: Capital Economics | Livabl\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A surprisingly strong showing from the Canadian housing market in June is leading economists to swiftly revise their forecasts as homebuyers returned to the market in larger than anticipated numbers.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/archives\/home-prices-forecast-rise-2022\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Livabl\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-07-20T18:57:24+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/canadian-housing-market.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1024\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"769\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Sean MacKay\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Sean MacKay\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/archives\/home-prices-forecast-rise-2022\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/archives\/home-prices-forecast-rise-2022\",\"name\":\"Home prices forecast to rise 8% by 2022: Capital Economics | Livabl\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/archives\/home-prices-forecast-rise-2022#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/archives\/home-prices-forecast-rise-2022#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/canadian-housing-market.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-07-20T18:57:24+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-07-20T18:57:24+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/#\/schema\/person\/5151abb7e6cfa5b68a139ad935bdb222\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/archives\/home-prices-forecast-rise-2022#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/archives\/home-prices-forecast-rise-2022\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/archives\/home-prices-forecast-rise-2022#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/canadian-housing-market.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/canadian-housing-market.jpg\",\"width\":1024,\"height\":769,\"caption\":\"canadian-housing-market\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/archives\/home-prices-forecast-rise-2022#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Articles\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Archives\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/archives\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"Home prices forecast to rise 8% by 2022: Capital Economics\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/\",\"name\":\"Livabl\",\"description\":\"Building New Home Dreams\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/#\/schema\/person\/5151abb7e6cfa5b68a139ad935bdb222\",\"name\":\"Sean MacKay\",\"description\":\"Sean is the Managing Director of Livabl, leading the site\u2019s content strategy as well as its product and business development. After graduating from the University of Toronto in 2011, Sean joined Livabl's parent organization, BuzzBuzzHome, where he led its Media team through several new launches and expansions. Passionate about city building, he is a member of Toronto's CivicAction, sitting on its Emerging Leaders Network executive committee. He is also an active member of the Urban Land Institute\u2019s Toronto District Council and sits on its Communications Committee. Sean enjoys cooking and eating food that other people cook for him.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/SeanAMackay\",\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/seanalastairmackay\/\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/author\/sean-mackay\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Home prices forecast to rise 8% by 2022: Capital Economics | Livabl","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/archives\/home-prices-forecast-rise-2022","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Home prices forecast to rise 8% by 2022: Capital Economics | Livabl","og_description":"A surprisingly strong showing from the Canadian housing market in June is leading economists to swiftly revise their forecasts as homebuyers returned to the market in larger than anticipated numbers.","og_url":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/archives\/home-prices-forecast-rise-2022","og_site_name":"Livabl","article_published_time":"2020-07-20T18:57:24+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1024,"height":769,"url":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/canadian-housing-market.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Sean MacKay","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Sean MacKay","Est. reading time":"2 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/archives\/home-prices-forecast-rise-2022","url":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/archives\/home-prices-forecast-rise-2022","name":"Home prices forecast to rise 8% by 2022: Capital Economics | Livabl","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/archives\/home-prices-forecast-rise-2022#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/archives\/home-prices-forecast-rise-2022#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/canadian-housing-market.jpg","datePublished":"2020-07-20T18:57:24+00:00","dateModified":"2020-07-20T18:57:24+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/#\/schema\/person\/5151abb7e6cfa5b68a139ad935bdb222"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/archives\/home-prices-forecast-rise-2022#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/archives\/home-prices-forecast-rise-2022"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/archives\/home-prices-forecast-rise-2022#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/canadian-housing-market.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/canadian-housing-market.jpg","width":1024,"height":769,"caption":"canadian-housing-market"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/archives\/home-prices-forecast-rise-2022#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Articles","item":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Archives","item":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/archives"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"Home prices forecast to rise 8% by 2022: Capital Economics"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/","name":"Livabl","description":"Building New Home Dreams","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/#\/schema\/person\/5151abb7e6cfa5b68a139ad935bdb222","name":"Sean MacKay","description":"Sean is the Managing Director of Livabl, leading the site\u2019s content strategy as well as its product and business development. After graduating from the University of Toronto in 2011, Sean joined Livabl's parent organization, BuzzBuzzHome, where he led its Media team through several new launches and expansions. Passionate about city building, he is a member of Toronto's CivicAction, sitting on its Emerging Leaders Network executive committee. He is also an active member of the Urban Land Institute\u2019s Toronto District Council and sits on its Communications Committee. Sean enjoys cooking and eating food that other people cook for him.","sameAs":["https:\/\/twitter.com\/SeanAMackay","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/seanalastairmackay\/"],"url":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/author\/sean-mackay"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/205795"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=205795"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/205795\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/205799"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=205795"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=205795"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=205795"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/coauthors?post=205795"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}