{"id":184506,"date":"2018-08-30T14:54:28","date_gmt":"2018-08-30T18:54:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/?p=184506"},"modified":"2018-08-30T14:54:28","modified_gmt":"2018-08-30T18:54:28","slug":"canadian-real-estate-investment-finally-rising-first-quarter-slump","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/archives\/canadian-real-estate-investment-finally-rising-first-quarter-slump","title":{"rendered":"Canadian real estate investment is finally rising again, after first quarter slump"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4 id='pressboard-ad-sponsorship-tag' style='margin-bottom: 35px;'><\/h4><p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/JPbombales-1866.jpg\" rel=\"lightbox[184506]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/JPbombales-1866.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"774\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-176670\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Photo: James Bombales<\/em><\/p>\n<p>After a rough start to the year, the Canadian economy expanded by 2.9 per cent in Q2, as the housing market finally adjusted to the effects of a new mortgage stress test.<\/p>\n<p>Real estate investment had dropped 2.7 per cent year-over-year in Q1, but a boost in national home sales led to a 0.3 per cent year-over-year increase in Q2.<\/p>\n\n<p>\u201cOn the domestic spending side, consumers and housing were both better than expected, and much better than Q1,\u201d writes BMO chief economist Douglas Porter, in a recent note.<\/p>\n<p>Home sales rose on a month-over-month basis in both June and July, causing several economists to predict that the market will continue to heat up heading into the fall.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cLooking ahead, a more &#8216;normal&#8217; pace of growth should prevail,\u201d writes TD senior economist Brian DePratto, in a recent note. \u201cHousing activity seems to have bottomed, and so we expect residential investment to continue making a positive contribution, counterbalanced by disruptions in the energy sector.\u201d <\/p>\n<div class=\"see-more-link\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"See Also\" src=\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/wp-content\/themes\/livabl\/images\/see-also-cta-icon.svg\"\/>\r\n          <strong><span>SEE ALSO:<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/articles\/2018\/08\/7-charts-show-gta-home-prices-creeping-upwards.html\"  area-label=\"7 charts that show how GTA home prices are creeping upwards\">7 charts that show how GTA home prices are creeping upwards<\/a><\/strong>\r\n        <\/div>\n<p>As for what this data means for a possible overnight rate hike, Porter predicts that the Bank of Canada will wait until October to raise rates further. The overnight rate affects mortgage rates, and was hiked to 1.50 per cent in July. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cFor the Bank of Canada, it likely required a blow-out upside surprise today to even get them to consider a rate hike next week, and instead we got a very mild downside surprise,\u201d he writes. \u201cProvided there are no big shocks on the NAFTA front, we continue to circle the October 24 decision date as the most likely time for the next BoC rate hike.\u201d<\/p>\n<div id='pressboard-ad-sponsorship-msg'><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Real estate investment had dropped 2.7 per cent year-over-year in Q1, but a boost in national home sales led to a 0.3 per cent year-over-year increase in Q2.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":31,"featured_media":176670,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","apple_news_api_created_at":"","apple_news_api_id":"","apple_news_api_modified_at":"","apple_news_api_revision":"","apple_news_api_share_url":"","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_is_hidden":false,"apple_news_is_paid":false,"apple_news_is_preview":false,"apple_news_is_sponsored":false,"apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"middle","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_sections":["https:\/\/u48r14.digitalhub.com\/sections\/09b86915-7d2b-3acd-915b-b215002d01b7"],"apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11269],"tags":[],"coauthors":[9678],"apple_news_notices":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.4 - 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